ALV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALV - Autoliv, Inc.
$120.26
1.31 (1.10%)
▲
5d:
+3.46%
30d:
-4.66%
90d:
+9.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 17, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$183.07
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALV is currently trading at $120.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.30 to $125.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $133.24 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $133.24 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$116.30 -
$125.92
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($133.24)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$116.30 -
$125.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.29
Resistance Level
$121.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.11
Wall Street Target
$133.24
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.2%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.14
(0%)
2-Year Target
$120.02
(0%)
3-Year Target
$119.90
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$119.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$380.20
(+216%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 13.7%)
$176.55
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 13.7%)
$150.06
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.29
Bull Case
$167.48
(+39%)
Analyst growth 28.0%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$152.25
(+27%)
Market implied 28.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$80.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Franz-Josef Kortuem
SELL
8300 shares
2026-02-26
Magnus Jarlegren
SELL
1598 shares
2026-02-25
Christian Swahn
SELL
1478 shares
2026-02-24
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