ALV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALV - Autoliv, Inc.
$118.34
0.10 (0.08%)
▲
5d:
-7.93%
30d:
+0.41%
90d:
+17.94%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 17, 2026
23d
Get Alerted When ALV Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ALV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$186.66
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALV is currently trading at $118.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.82 to $129.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $116.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.88 (+12.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $116.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.88 (+12.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$118.82 -
$129.54
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($132.88)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.82 -
$129.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.15
Resistance Level
$131.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.92
Wall Street Target
$132.88
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.2%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.39
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$116.45
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$115.52
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$118.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.0%)
$384.81
(+225%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$175.33
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 14.0%)
$149.03
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.29
Bull Case
$166.96
(+41%)
Analyst growth 28.4%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$151.78
(+28%)
Market implied 28.4%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$80.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$121.64
(+2.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ALV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Franz-Josef Kortuem
SELL
8300 shares
2026-02-26
Magnus Jarlegren
SELL
1598 shares
2026-02-25
Christian Swahn
SELL
1478 shares
2026-02-24
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$3969 | 57 HOLD |
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$110 | 57 HOLD |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$78 | 50 HOLD |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Cla… |
BUY
28 analysts |
$13 | 50 HOLD |
|
BWA
BorgWarner Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$76 | 54 HOLD |
