ALV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALV - Autoliv, Inc.
$121.88
1.62 (1.35%)
▲
5d:
+1.71%
30d:
-1.81%
90d:
+10.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 17, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$182.54
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALV is currently trading at $121.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.42 to $125.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$116.42 -
$125.86
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($133.82)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 6.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$116.42 -
$125.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.29
Resistance Level
$121.89
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.26
Wall Street Target
$133.82
(+9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.2%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.37
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$122.86
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$123.35
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$121.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$379.68
(+212%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 13.6%)
$178.79
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 13.6%)
$151.97
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.29
Bull Case
$167.48
(+39%)
Analyst growth 28.0%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$152.25
(+27%)
Market implied 28.0%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$80.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Franz-Josef Kortuem
SELL
8300 shares
2026-02-26
Magnus Jarlegren
SELL
1598 shares
2026-02-25
Christian Swahn
SELL
1478 shares
2026-02-24
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