Autoliv (ALV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALV - Autoliv, Inc.
$121.13
-0.04 (-0.03%)
▼
5d:
-3.13%
30d:
+0.26%
90d:
-6.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ALV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$190.12
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$118.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALV is currently trading at $121.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.61 to $124.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $118.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.06 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $118.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.06 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$120.61 -
$124.05
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($134.06)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 3.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$120.61 -
$124.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$118.33
Resistance Level
$125.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.27
Wall Street Target
$134.06
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.5%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.49
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$121.86
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$122.22
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$121.43
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 15.3%)
$364.98
(+201%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$185.78
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 15.3%)
$157.91
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.62
Bull Case
$182.44
(+51%)
Analyst growth 36.9%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$165.85
(+37%)
Market implied 36.9%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$82.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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