Autoliv (ALV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALV - Autoliv, Inc.
$116.84
0.90 (0.78%)
â˛
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
+1.25%
90d:
-0.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 23, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ALV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ALV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$179.20
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALV is currently trading at $116.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.09 to $117.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $118.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALV scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.25 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $118.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALV scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.25 (+15.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$112.09 -
$117.23
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($134.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$112.09 -
$117.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$107.12
Resistance Level
$118.94
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.96
Wall Street Target
$134.25
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.5%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.24
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$114.55
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$113.87
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â10)
$115.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.7%)
$339.78
(+193%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 13.7%)
$170.41
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 13.7%)
$144.85
(+25%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.48
Bull Case
$177.15
(+53%)
Analyst growth 37.3%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$161.04
(+39%)
Market implied 37.3%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$79.78
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$117.57
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 10:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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