Autoliv (ALV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$120.14
-0.79 (-0.65%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.41%
30d:
+5.58%
90d:
-1.05%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$112.47 â $121.22
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.5x
FAIR
vs 10.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$131.25
+8.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$114.80 / $127.25
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ALV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$173.47
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$107.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALV is currently trading at $120.14, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.47 to $121.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $114.80, while resistance sits at $127.25.
Market Sentiment: ALV scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $114.80, while resistance sits at $127.25.
Market Sentiment: ALV scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$112.47 -
$121.22
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$112.47 -
$121.22
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$114.80
Resistance Level
$127.25
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($131.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with -0.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.54
Wall Street Target
$131.25
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.6%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.50
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$124.09
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$125.71
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$120.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.9%)
$327.73
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 12.9%)
$173.94
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 12.9%)
$147.85
(+22%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.32
Bull Case
$188.58
(+56%)
Analyst growth 37.9%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$171.44
(+42%)
Market implied 37.9%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$84.54
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ALV)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Feb 21, 2023
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on ALV are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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