HSAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSAI - Hesai Group American Depositary Share, each ADS represents one Class B ordinary share
$19.10
0.48 (2.58%)
▲
5d:
+4.89%
30d:
+29.4%
90d:
-8.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $18.07 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HSAI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HSAI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.41
35.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSAI is currently trading at $19.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.38 to $18.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.1) compared to its historical average (3.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.07 (+52.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.07 (+52.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.38 -
$18.57
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HSAI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.2% below Wall St target ($29.07)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.38 -
$18.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.70
Resistance Level
$19.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.06
Wall Street Target
$29.07
(+52.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.1 vs 3.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.63
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$16.27
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$15.02
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$19.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 69.5%)
$422.41
(+2112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.1, Growth: 69.5%)
$64.46
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.6, Growth: 69.5%)
$54.79
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.53
Bull Case
$40.96
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case
$37.24
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.1
Bear Case
$12.66
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.1 to 3.9
Stabilization Target:
$24.32
(+27.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 3:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HSAI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HSAI price and gamma walls.
