HSAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSAI - Hesai Group American Depositary Share, each ADS represents one Class B ordinary share
$17.79
0.89 (5.27%)
▲
5d:
+15.29%
30d:
+3.49%
90d:
-19.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
13d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.18
39.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSAI is currently trading at $17.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.97 to $17.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.0) compared to its historical average (4.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: HSAI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.97 (+68.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.90. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: HSAI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.97 (+68.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.97 -
$17.06
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.5% below Wall St target ($29.97)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.97 -
$17.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.29
Resistance Level
$17.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.95
Wall Street Target
$29.97
(+68.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.9%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.0 vs 4.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.12
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$14.60
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$13.23
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$17.95
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 64.0%)
$422.12
(+2273%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.9, Growth: 64.0%)
$60.04
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.5, Growth: 64.0%)
$51.04
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$37.18
(+109%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case
$33.80
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case
$11.49
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.9 to 4.0
Stabilization Target:
$24.13
(+35.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 1:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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