HSAI
Hesai Group American Depositary Share, each ADS represents one Class B ordinary share
General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC
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HSAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$14.17
-0.49 (-3.34%)
âŧ
5d:
+10.36%
30d:
+1.65%
90d:
-22.19%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
0d
Protect HSAI Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (45%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$12.65 â $15.12
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
2.7x
CHEAP
vs 3.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$24.07
+69.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.02 / $15.19
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HSAI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.83
37.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSAI is currently trading at $14.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.65 to $15.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.7) compared to its historical average (3.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.02, while resistance sits at $15.19. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: HSAI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.07 (+69.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.02, while resistance sits at $15.19. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: HSAI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.07 (+69.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.65 -
$15.12
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$12.65 -
$15.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$12.02
Resistance Level
$15.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding HSAI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 69.9% below Wall St target ($24.07)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.70
Wall Street Target
$24.07
(+69.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-72.7%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.7 vs 3.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.91
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$11.76
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$10.71
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3â4)
$14.27
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 91.7%)
$351.53
(+2381%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.7, Growth: 91.7%)
$47.82
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.3, Growth: 91.7%)
$40.65
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$32.25
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.6
Base Case
$29.32
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$9.97
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.7 to 3.6
Stabilization Target:
$18.88
(+33.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HSAI)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Hesai Group reports Q3 2026 financial results, announcing strong lidar shipments and net income growth, with a focus on expanding into mass-market vehicles and launching new strategic growth initiatives.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong lidar business growth with premium OEM partnerships
Expansion into mass-market vehicles and new strategic initiatives
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 1:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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Sells
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