HSAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSAI - Hesai Group American Depositary Share, each ADS represents one Class B ordinary share
$17.31
-0.09 (-0.52%)
▼
5d:
-6.23%
30d:
-8.99%
90d:
-4.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $18.89 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HSAI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HSAI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.41
39.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSAI is currently trading at $17.31, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.20 to $18.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.8) compared to its historical average (3.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.91, while resistance sits at $19.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.34 (+63.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.91, while resistance sits at $19.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.34 (+63.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$17.20 -
$18.88
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HSAI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.7% below Wall St target ($28.34)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (49/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.20 -
$18.88
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.91
Resistance Level
$19.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.80
Wall Street Target
$28.34
(+63.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.8 vs 3.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.61
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.08
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.70
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$17.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 68.1%)
$420.91
(+2332%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.8, Growth: 68.1%)
$58.42
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.4, Growth: 68.1%)
$49.66
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$38.28
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.9
Base Case
$34.80
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 36.3
Bear Case
$11.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.8 to 3.8
Stabilization Target:
$23.50
(+35.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HSAI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HSAI price and gamma walls.
