HSAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HSAI - Hesai Group American Depositary Share, each ADS represents one Class B ordinary share
$13.13
0.99 (8.15%)
▲
5d:
+5.72%
30d:
-19.79%
90d:
-14.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 15.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HSAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 15.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.60
48.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HSAI is currently trading at $13.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.85 to $16.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.2) compared to its historical average (3.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.00, while resistance sits at $15.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HSAI scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.60 (+110.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HSAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.00, while resistance sits at $15.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: HSAI scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.60 (+110.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.85 -
$16.81
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 110.2% below Wall St target ($27.60)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.85 -
$16.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.00
Resistance Level
$15.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.23
Wall Street Target
$27.60
(+110.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.2 vs 3.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.82
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.64
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.57
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→4)
$15.44
(+18%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 59.9%)
$394.25
(+2903%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.2, Growth: 59.9%)
$44.31
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.9, Growth: 59.9%)
$37.67
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$26.71
(+103%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case
$24.28
(+85%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case
$8.26
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.2 to 3.6
Stabilization Target:
$21.17
(+61.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+61.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HSAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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