APPS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APPS - Digital Turbine, Inc.

PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS
$12.69
0.28 (2.26%) β–²
5d: -11.07%
30d: +30.42%
90d: +208.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $14.34 · last confirmed Aug 12, 2026

Strength: 7.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: APPS is down 11.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.63
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APPS is currently trading at $12.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.18 to $12.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 25.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APPS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.84, while resistance sits at $15.34.

Market Sentiment: APPS scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.17 (+38.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $8.18 - $12.30
Company Quality Score 31/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 31.9%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 38.3% below Wall St target ($17.17)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 25.2% growth with 26.8% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $8.18 - $12.30
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.85
Resistance Level $15.34
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 12, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.86
Wall Street Target $17.17 (+38.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -42.9%
Profit Margin -5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +25.2% premium
PE vs Historical 19.9 vs 10.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +25.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.54 (+25%)
2-Year Target $19.45 (+57%)
3-Year Target $24.35 (+96%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20β†’10) PE COMPRESSION $12.39 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 58.2%) $42.67 (+244%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 58.2%) $41.88 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 10.1, Growth: 58.2%) $21.30 (+72%)
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Last updated: August 13, 2026 11:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced APPS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APPS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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