AROC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$33.13
0.05 (0.15%)
▲
5d:
-5.67%
30d:
-14.02%
90d:
-10.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AROC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AROC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.76
Based on 13.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.83
18.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $33.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.73 to $38.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AROC scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.88 (+29.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AROC scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.88 (+29.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.73 -
$38.30
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.4% below Wall St target ($42.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.73 -
$38.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.59
Resistance Level
$36.31
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.97
Wall Street Target
$42.88
(+29.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.27
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$31.43
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$30.61
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$33.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.2%)
$87.58
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 22.2%)
$60.46
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 22.2%)
$51.39
(+55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$46.41
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.5%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$42.19
(+27%)
Market implied 27.5%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$22.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$35.82
(+8.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 11, 2026 2:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Doug S Aron
SELL
98050 shares
2026-03-30
Doug S Aron
SELL
71500 shares
2026-03-27
Donna A Henderson
SELL
10413 shares
2026-03-04
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