Archrock (AROC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AROC - Archrock Inc
$30.28
-0.06 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
-0.16%
30d:
-6.43%
90d:
-20.52%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AROC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AROC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.91
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.72
12.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AROC is currently trading at $30.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.22 to $32.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AROC scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.38 (+39.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AROC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AROC scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.38 (+39.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$30.22 -
$32.21
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.9% below Wall St target ($42.38)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 14% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.22 -
$32.21
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.75
Resistance Level
$31.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.92
Wall Street Target
$42.38
(+39.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.9 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.55
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$28.84
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$28.15
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$30.34
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.0%)
$72.73
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.9, Growth: 19.0%)
$50.97
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 19.0%)
$43.33
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.86
Bull Case
$39.03
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$35.48
(+17%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$20.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.9 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$32.63
(+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 10, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AROC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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