AYI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AYI - Acuity Inc.
$367.53
-9.13 (-2.42%)
▼
5d:
+20.3%
30d:
+19.72%
90d:
+31.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AYI is 15.8% above its trading range ($317.44). Market expects 5.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AYI is 15.8% above its trading range ($317.44). Market expects 5.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$435.11
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$270.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AYI is currently trading at $367.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $284.28 to $317.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.0) compared to its historical average (14.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AYI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $298.59, while resistance sits at $378.65.
Market Sentiment: AYI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AYI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $298.59, while resistance sits at $378.65.
Market Sentiment: AYI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$284.28 -
$317.44
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AYI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+15.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($396.86)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.3% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 15.8% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$284.28 -
$317.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$298.59
Resistance Level
$378.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.04
Wall Street Target
$396.86
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.2%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 14.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$387.01
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$407.52
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$429.12
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$367.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$614.98
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 9.4%)
$481.20
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 9.4%)
$409.02
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.04
Bull Case
$571.75
(+52%)
Analyst growth 43.4%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$519.77
(+38%)
Market implied 43.4%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$246.49
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 01, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AYI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Laura O'shaughnessy
BUY
1000 shares
2026-04-08
Karen J Holcom
SELL
4974 shares
2026-01-28
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