Baxter International (BAX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BAX - Baxter International Inc.

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$23.50
-1.96 (-7.70%) ▼
5d: -8.38%
30d: -2.08%
90d: -10.17%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.96
Based on -11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.81
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BAX is currently trading at $23.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.55 to $25.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.92 (+18.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $23.55 - $25.12
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($27.92)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $23.55 - $25.12
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.37
Resistance Level $26.10
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 29, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.52
Wall Street Target $27.92 (+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 36.8%
Profit Margin -9.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.3% premium
PE vs Historical 11.5 vs 10.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $24.51 (+4%)
2-Year Target $25.56 (+9%)
3-Year Target $26.66 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→10) PE COMPRESSION $23.37 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -26.4%) $40.19 (+71%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: -26.4%) $23.31 (-1%)
Bear: (PE: 9.8, Growth: -26.4%) $19.82 (-16%)
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Last updated: October 30, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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