Bilibili (BILI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BILI - Bilibili Inc. American Depositary Shares
$14.27
-0.71 (-4.74%)
▼
5d:
-4.36%
30d:
-7.7%
90d:
-24.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
28d
Get Alerted When BILI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BILI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BILI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.11
45.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BILI is currently trading at $14.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.64 to $15.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.6) compared to its historical average (2.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BILI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: BILI scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.34 (+84.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BILI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: BILI scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.34 (+84.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.64 -
$15.52
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 84.6% below Wall St target ($26.34)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.64 -
$15.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.11
Resistance Level
$15.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.65
Wall Street Target
$26.34
(+84.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.9%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.7 vs 2.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.84
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.56
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.40
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$15.74
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 26.7%)
$348.93
(+2345%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.7, Growth: 26.7%)
$29.03
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.4, Growth: 26.7%)
$24.67
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.51
Bull Case
$32.96
(+131%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.3
Base Case
$29.96
(+110%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$10.19
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.7 to 2.5
Stabilization Target:
$21.59
(+51.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+51.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 6:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BILI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Internet Content & Information Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Internet Content & Information by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
GOOG
Alphabet Inc Class C |
STRONG BUY
62 analysts |
$420 | 56 HOLD |
|
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A |
STRONG BUY
62 analysts |
$429 | 54 HOLD |
|
META
Meta Platforms Inc. |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$799 | 45 HOLD |
|
BIDU
Baidu Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$145 | 49 HOLD |
|
SPOT
Spotify Technology SA |
STRONG BUY
40 analysts |
$595 | 43 HOLD |
