MGNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MGNI - Magnite, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$18.73
1.41 (8.14%) ▲
5d: +4.7%
30d: +40.3%
90d: +58.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MGNI is 7.5% above its trading range ($17.43). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.20
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.78
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MGNI is currently trading at $18.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.69 to $17.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: MGNI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.07 (+17.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $13.69 - $17.43
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.5% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.1%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.07)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.2% growth expectation is conservative given 230% recent growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.69 - $17.43
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.18
Resistance Level $15.97
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.15
Wall Street Target $22.07 (+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 230.0%
Profit Margin 22.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.2% premium
PE vs Historical 15.2 vs 12.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.08 (+7%)
2-Year Target $21.52 (+15%)
3-Year Target $23.07 (+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→12) PE COMPRESSION $18.73 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.8%) $37.61 (+101%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 11.8%) $26.17 (+40%)
Bear: (PE: 12.3, Growth: 11.8%) $21.24 (+13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.05
Bull Case $23.68 (+26%)
Analyst growth 17.7%, PE expands to 19.2
Base Case $21.53 (+15%)
Market implied 17.7%, PE stable at 17.4
Bear Case $12.44 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 27, 2026 2:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Adam Lee Soroca SELL 21529 shares 2026-02-18

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