DLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DLO - DLocal Limited Class A Common Shares
$14.48
-0.11 (-0.75%)
▼
5d:
-4.67%
30d:
+14.02%
90d:
+7.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
25d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DLO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.28
20.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DLO is currently trading at $14.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.18 to $14.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DLO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.83, while resistance sits at $15.51.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.85 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DLO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.83, while resistance sits at $15.51.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.85 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$12.18 -
$14.67
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($17.85)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.18 -
$14.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.83
Resistance Level
$15.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.83
Wall Street Target
$17.85
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.26
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$14.05
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$13.84
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$14.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 31.8%)
$54.33
(+275%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 31.8%)
$33.18
(+129%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 31.8%)
$28.21
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$28.74
(+99%)
Analyst growth 79.1%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$26.13
(+81%)
Market implied 79.1%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$9.92
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$15.12
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 18, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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