BLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BLD - TopBuild Corp. Common Stock
$354.53
-5.23 (-1.45%)
▼
5d:
-12.98%
30d:
-15.08%
90d:
+5.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When BLD Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BLD is down 13.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BLD is down 13.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$662.95
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$411.64
13.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BLD is currently trading at $354.53, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.0) compared to its historical average (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $330.51, while resistance sits at $431.58.
Market Sentiment: BLD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $471.33 (+32.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BLD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $330.51, while resistance sits at $431.58.
Market Sentiment: BLD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $471.33 (+32.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.9% below Wall St target ($471.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$330.51
Resistance Level
$431.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.01
Wall Street Target
$471.33
(+32.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 20.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$333.61
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$313.93
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$295.41
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$354.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$685.96
(+94%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 14.7%)
$535.59
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 14.7%)
$455.25
(+28%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 20.4
Stabilization Target:
$425.29
(+20.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BLD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Engineering & Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Engineering & Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PWR
Quanta Services Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$770 | 47 HOLD |
|
MTZ
MasTec Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$422 | 54 HOLD |
|
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc. |
BUY
17 analysts |
$163 | 48 HOLD |
|
DY
Dycom Industries Inc |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$637 | 51 HOLD |
|
ACM
Aecom Technology Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$87 | 43 HOLD |
