MAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MAS - Masco Corporation
$77.42
1.24 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
-2.42%
30d:
+4.98%
90d:
+20.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MAS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.43
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MAS is currently trading at $77.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.91 to $79.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MAS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$71.91 -
$79.86
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($81.24)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.91 -
$79.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.81
Resistance Level
$72.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.19
Wall Street Target
$81.24
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.86
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$79.57
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$81.32
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.34
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$136.94
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 10.1%)
$101.81
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$86.54
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.04
Bull Case
$99.71
(+31%)
Analyst growth 16.5%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$90.65
(+19%)
Market implied 16.5%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$52.93
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Heath M Eisman
SELL
747 shares
2026-02-26
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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