BXC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BXC - BlueLinx Holdings Inc.
$53.93
-0.25 (-0.45%)
▼
5d:
-4.44%
30d:
+3.25%
90d:
-3.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BXC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BXC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.83
22.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BXC is currently trading at $53.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.90 to $60.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.4) compared to its historical average (26.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $48.76, while resistance sits at $65.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.33 (+35.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BXC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $48.76, while resistance sits at $65.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.33 (+35.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$51.90 -
$60.01
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.4% below Wall St target ($73.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.90 -
$60.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.76
Resistance Level
$65.28
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.45
Wall Street Target
$73.33
(+35.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.3%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.5 vs 26.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.79
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$49.51
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$47.33
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→27)
$54.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.5, Growth: 155.2%)
$182.82
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 155.2%)
$169.80
(+214%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 155.2%)
$144.33
(+166%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.5 to 26.9
Stabilization Target:
$62.14
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BXC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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