BOX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BOX - BOX, INC.
$29.41
0.77 (2.69%)
▲
5d:
+3.74%
30d:
+11.06%
90d:
+37.62%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BOX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BOX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.30
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOX is currently trading at $29.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.18 to $28.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (17.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BOX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BOX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.18 -
$28.06
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.6% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.18 -
$28.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.17
Resistance Level
$29.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.25
Wall Street Target
$32.50
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.1%
Profit Margin
-19.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 17.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.06
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$32.80
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$34.63
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$45.39
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$42.21
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$35.85
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$63.36
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.5
Base Case
$57.60
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.0
Bear Case
$19.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BOX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dylan C Smith
SELL
10280 shares
2026-04-10
Eli Berkovitch
SELL
24500 shares
2026-04-08
Olivia Nottebohm
SELL
6528 shares
2026-04-07
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