BOX (BOX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BOX - BOX, INC.
$33.75
-0.37 (-1.08%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.15%
30d:
+4.33%
90d:
+32.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BOX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BOX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.69
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOX is currently trading at $33.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.33 to $34.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.2) compared to its historical average (18.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BOX scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.71 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BOX scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.71 (+14.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.33 -
$34.72
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BOX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.2% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.33 -
$34.72
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.65
Resistance Level
$36.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.24
Wall Street Target
$38.71
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.1%
Profit Margin
-19.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 18.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.52
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$39.51
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$42.75
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23â18)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.66
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$48.44
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.8%)
$42.04
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.8%)
$35.73
(+6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 18.55 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.82
Bull Case
$40.75
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$33.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$25.82
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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