BOX (BOX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BOX - BOX, INC.
$34.60
1.12 (3.35%)
â˛
5d:
+7.05%
30d:
-1.59%
90d:
+24.06%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BOX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BOX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.56
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOX is currently trading at $34.60, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.79 to $35.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.8) compared to its historical average (18.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: BOX scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.71 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: BOX scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.71 (+11.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$32.79 -
$35.12
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.6%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.71)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.5% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.79 -
$35.12
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.44
Resistance Level
$34.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.83
Wall Street Target
$38.71
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.0%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.5% premium
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 18.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.54
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$40.73
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$44.19
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â19)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$49.66
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$42.52
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$36.14
(+4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$73.66
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.2
Base Case
$66.96
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.2
Bear Case
$22.77
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
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