BOX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BOX - BOX, INC.
$24.97
0.61 (2.50%)
▲
5d:
-2.12%
30d:
-1.69%
90d:
+1.84%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BOX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BOX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.09
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOX is currently trading at $24.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.88 to $26.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.07, while resistance sits at $26.82.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+33.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.07, while resistance sits at $26.82.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.50 (+33.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.88 -
$26.87
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.4% below Wall St target ($32.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.88 -
$26.87
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.07
Resistance Level
$26.82
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.78
Wall Street Target
$32.50
(+33.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.1%
Profit Margin
-19.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 17.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.24
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$24.12
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$24.00
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$24.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$45.39
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 12.8%)
$34.97
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$29.72
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$55.18
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.1
Base Case
$50.16
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.2
Bear Case
$17.05
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 17.1
Stabilization Target:
$24.83
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BOX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dylan C Smith
SELL
10280 shares
2026-04-10
Eli Berkovitch
SELL
24500 shares
2026-04-08
Olivia Nottebohm
SELL
6528 shares
2026-04-07
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