BURL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BURL - BURLINGTON STORES, INC.
$328.70
7.63 (2.38%)
▲
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
+6.28%
90d:
+9.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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3 traders called BURL this week
25% bullish • 3 bearish
25% bullish • 3 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BURL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BURL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$432.64
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$268.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BURL is currently trading at $328.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $296.86 to $330.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.4) is in line with its historical norms (28.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BURL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $334.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BURL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $367.07 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BURL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $334.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BURL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $367.07 (+11.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$296.86 -
$330.58
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($367.07)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$296.86 -
$330.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$280.00
Resistance Level
$334.81
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.41
Wall Street Target
$367.07
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
29.4 vs 28.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$333.63
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$338.63
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$343.71
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$328.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.4, Growth: 14.4%)
$492.55
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.4%)
$366.94
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 14.4%)
$311.90
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.53
Bull Case
$420.85
(+40%)
Analyst growth 17.3%, PE expands to 37.7
Base Case
$382.59
(+27%)
Market implied 17.3%, PE stable at 34.2
Bear Case
$221.84
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BURL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Travis Marquette
SELL
3759 shares
2026-03-24
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