CAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAL - Caleres Inc
$12.84
-0.18 (-1.38%)
▼
5d:
+9.0%
30d:
+3.63%
90d:
-1.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.54
5.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $12.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.61 to $12.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.45, while resistance sits at $13.39.
Market Sentiment: CAL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+32.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.45, while resistance sits at $13.39.
Market Sentiment: CAL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+32.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.61 -
$12.77
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.4% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.61 -
$12.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.45
Resistance Level
$13.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.48
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+32.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
103.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.40
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$13.99
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$14.61
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.74
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 185.5%)
$105.88
(+725%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 185.5%)
$43.34
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 185.5%)
$36.83
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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