CAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAL - Caleres Inc
$11.84
0.03 (0.25%)
▲
5d:
+0.42%
30d:
-13.83%
90d:
-5.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.54
12.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $11.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.88 to $13.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.13, while resistance sits at $13.26.
Market Sentiment: CAL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+43.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.13, while resistance sits at $13.26.
Market Sentiment: CAL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+43.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.88 -
$13.78
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.6% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.88 -
$13.78
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.13
Resistance Level
$13.26
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.82
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+43.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
103.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.06
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$12.29
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$12.53
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 185.5%)
$111.24
(+840%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 185.5%)
$39.96
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 185.5%)
$33.97
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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