Caleres (CAL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CAL - Caleres Inc

FOOTWEAR, (NO RUBBER)
$12.22
-0.08 (-0.65%) â–ŧ
5d: -2.4%
30d: -0.08%
90d: +3.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: CAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.09
13.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $12.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.99 to $12.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.58, while resistance sits at $12.81.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+39.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $11.99 - $12.65
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.1% below Wall St target ($17.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.99 - $12.65
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.58
Resistance Level $12.81
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.08
Wall Street Target $17.00 (+39.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 761.5%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.8% premium
PE vs Historical 8.1 vs 7.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.44 (+2%)
2-Year Target $12.66 (+4%)
3-Year Target $12.89 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $12.29 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 185.5%) $104.19 (+753%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 185.5%) $41.24 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.9, Growth: 185.5%) $35.06 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case $13.38 (+10%)
Analyst growth -1.1%, PE expands to 8.8
Base Case $12.17 (0%)
Market implied -1.1%, PE stable at 8.0
Bear Case $8.36 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 5:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:12 AM
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