Caleres (CAL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAL - Caleres Inc
$12.77
-0.58 (-4.34%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.62%
30d:
+2.24%
90d:
+2.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.09
9.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $12.77, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.09 to $12.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.82, while resistance sits at $13.61. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAL scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+27.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.82, while resistance sits at $13.61. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAL scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+27.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$12.09 -
$12.81
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.3% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.09 -
$12.81
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.82
Resistance Level
$13.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.82
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+27.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
761.5%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.96
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$14.61
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$15.28
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 185.5%)
$101.43
(+660%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 185.5%)
$45.06
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 185.5%)
$38.30
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$13.84
(+4%)
Analyst growth -1.1%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$12.58
(-6%)
Market implied -1.1%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$8.65
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 10:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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