CAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAL - Caleres Inc
$11.31
-0.53 (-4.48%)
▼
5d:
-5.28%
30d:
-23.22%
90d:
-12.26%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.54
16.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $11.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.77 to $13.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+50.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: CAL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+50.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.77 -
$13.67
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.3% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.77 -
$13.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.13
Resistance Level
$12.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.47
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+50.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
103.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 7.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.36
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$11.40
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$11.45
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 185.5%)
$111.24
(+884%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 185.5%)
$38.17
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 185.5%)
$32.45
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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