CAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CAL - Caleres Inc
$12.27
-0.40 (-3.16%)
▼
5d:
-12.73%
30d:
-6.76%
90d:
+6.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CAL is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CAL is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.36
8.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CAL is currently trading at $12.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.39 to $14.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+38.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CAL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+38.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.39 -
$14.51
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.39 -
$14.51
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.19
Resistance Level
$15.01
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.11
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
103.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.70
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$13.14
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$13.60
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 185.5%)
$111.24
(+807%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 185.5%)
$41.41
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 185.5%)
$35.20
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 3:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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