CALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CALM - Cal-Maine Foods Inc
$82.80
0.37 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
+2.11%
30d:
-6.06%
90d:
+7.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $85.08 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CALM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CALM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.50
Based on -31.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALM is currently trading at $82.80, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.06 to $89.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 34.1) compared to its historical average (22.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $79.69, while resistance sits at $85.91.
Market Sentiment: CALM scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $79.69, while resistance sits at $85.91.
Market Sentiment: CALM scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$82.06 -
$89.03
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($88.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 15.1% growth with -49.9% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 77/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.06 -
$89.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.69
Resistance Level
$85.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.14
Wall Street Target
$88.00
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-49.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.8%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.1% premium
PE vs Historical
34.1 vs 22.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.30
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$109.69
(+33%)
3-Year Target
$126.26
(+53%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.83
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.1, Growth: -67.3%)
$60.36
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -67.3%)
$35.48
(-57%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -67.3%)
$30.16
(-64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.79
Bull Case
$45.34
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$41.21
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$56.05
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CALM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CALM price and gamma walls.
