CALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CALM - Cal-Maine Foods Inc
$83.41
-4.93 (-5.58%)
▼
5d:
-2.09%
30d:
+5.49%
90d:
+10.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
7d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CALM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CALM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.32
Based on -27.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALM is currently trading at $83.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.78 to $83.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.1) compared to its historical average (20.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $77.80, while resistance sits at $88.74. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CALM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $77.80, while resistance sits at $88.74. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CALM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$76.78 -
$83.67
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.5% growth with -53.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.78 -
$83.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.80
Resistance Level
$88.74
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.08
Wall Street Target
$86.75
(+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-53.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.8%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.5% premium
PE vs Historical
27.1 vs 20.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.17
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$101.85
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$112.54
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.53
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.1, Growth: -59.6%)
$60.81
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -59.6%)
$48.90
(-41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -59.6%)
$41.57
(-50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.37
Bull Case
$48.59
(-42%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.8
Base Case
$44.17
(-47%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.2
Bear Case
$60.07
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CALM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CALM price and gamma walls.
