CALM Cal-Maine Foods Inc Agricultural Prod-Livestock & Animal Specialties

Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$66.71
-0.38 (-0.57%) ▼
5d: -2.0% 30d: +6.38% 90d: -19.23%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$61.98 – $66.04
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
27.5x STRETCHED
vs 23.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$68.33
+2.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
29th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$60.73 / $69.42
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CALM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.87
Based on -31.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.64
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CALM is currently trading at $66.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.98 to $66.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.5) compared to its historical average (23.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $60.73, while resistance sits at $69.42.

Market Sentiment: CALM scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (29th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $61.98 - $66.04
Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)
Options IV Signal 29th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 41.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $61.98 - $66.04
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.98 (6.0%)
Support Level $60.73
Resistance Level $69.42
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 29th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.8% growth with -41.5% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.51
Wall Street Target $68.33 (+2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -41.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -89.8%
Profit Margin 2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.8% premium
PE vs Historical 27.5 vs 23.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $69.91 (+5%)
2-Year Target $73.27 (+10%)
3-Year Target $76.78 (+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→24) PE COMPRESSION $66.71 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.5, Growth: -67.3%) $48.63 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -67.3%) $35.11 (-47%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: -67.3%) $29.84 (-55%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 19.80 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.37
Bull Case $80.55 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case $66.71 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case $51.03 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CALM)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding $CALM's potential price increase to $90 or above.
Key Retail Themes: Price prediction Positive sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive CALM Research Pages
CALM Technical Chart CALM Price Prediction CALM Intrinsic Value DCF CALM Earnings Date CALM Investment Advisor CALM Fair Price Analyzer CALM Options Chain CALM Options Advisor CALM Options Analysis CALM Competitors
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