Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CALM - Cal-Maine Foods Inc

Agricultural Prod-Livestock & Animal Specialties
$73.98
0.27 (0.37%) ▲
5d: -2.7%
30d: -10.01%
90d: -7.37%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your CALM Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 07, 2026 23d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $74.63 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CALM trades at premium valuation expecting 9.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.67
Based on -31.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.52
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CALM is currently trading at $73.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.27 to $84.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.5) compared to its historical average (23.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.00 (+13.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $77.27 - $84.60
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.7% growth with -49.9% revenue growth
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (41/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $77.27 - $84.60
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $72.90
Resistance Level $81.81
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.51
Wall Street Target $84.00 (+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -49.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -89.8%
Profit Margin 10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.7% premium
PE vs Historical 30.5 vs 23.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $81.16 (+10%)
2-Year Target $89.03 (+20%)
3-Year Target $97.66 (+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→23) PE COMPRESSION $73.95 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 30.5, Growth: -67.3%) $53.93 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -67.3%) $35.66 (-52%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: -67.3%) $30.31 (-59%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.68
Bull Case $40.54 (-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case $36.85 (-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case $50.12 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CALM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CALM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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