Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CALM - Cal-Maine Foods Inc
$66.67
0.83 (1.26%)
▲
5d:
-1.13%
30d:
-15.41%
90d:
-21.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CALM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CALM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.79
Based on -31.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALM is currently trading at $66.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.21 to $79.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.5) compared to its historical average (23.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.50, while resistance sits at $73.68.
Market Sentiment: CALM scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $63.50, while resistance sits at $73.68.
Market Sentiment: CALM scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$69.21 -
$79.44
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CALM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.3% growth with -41.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.21 -
$79.44
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.50
Resistance Level
$73.68
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.49
Wall Street Target
$68.33
(+2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-41.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.8%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
27.5 vs 23.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.20
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$73.92
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$77.84
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.5, Growth: -67.3%)
$48.60
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -67.3%)
$36.06
(-46%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: -67.3%)
$30.65
(-54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 19.80 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.37
Bull Case
$80.50
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$66.67
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$51.00
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CALM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CALM price and gamma walls.
