CALM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CALM - Cal-Maine Foods Inc
$87.04
-0.74 (-0.84%)
▼
5d:
-1.89%
30d:
+3.8%
90d:
+14.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CALM trades at premium valuation expecting 19.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CALM trades at premium valuation expecting 19.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.23
Based on -31.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALM is currently trading at $87.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.42 to $89.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 36.2) compared to its historical average (21.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 19.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.59, while resistance sits at $95.25.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.59, while resistance sits at $95.25.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$80.42 -
$89.42
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CALM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 19.4% growth with -49.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.42 -
$89.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.59
Resistance Level
$95.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.20
Wall Street Target
$86.75
(-1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-49.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.8%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+19.4% premium
PE vs Historical
36.2 vs 21.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+19.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.81
(+19%)
2-Year Target
$125.14
(+43%)
3-Year Target
$149.42
(+70%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.92
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.2, Growth: -67.3%)
$63.99
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -67.3%)
$36.65
(-58%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -67.3%)
$31.15
(-65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.38
Bull Case
$47.89
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 7.2
Base Case
$43.54
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.5
Bear Case
$59.21
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CALM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CALM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CALM price and gamma walls.
