Dutch Bros (BROS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BROS - Dutch Bros Inc.
$41.75
-0.51 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
+1.58%
30d:
+8.64%
90d:
-34.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BROS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BROS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BROS is currently trading at $41.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.86 to $41.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.7) compared to its historical average (48.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BROS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.51, while resistance sits at $44.10.
Market Sentiment: BROS scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.88 (+67.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BROS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.51, while resistance sits at $44.10.
Market Sentiment: BROS scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.88 (+67.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.86 -
$41.63
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BROS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 67.4% below Wall St target ($69.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.86 -
$41.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.51
Resistance Level
$44.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.68
Wall Street Target
$69.88
(+67.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.3%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.7 vs 48.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.57
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$33.82
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$30.44
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→48)
$46.21
(+11%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.7, Growth: 34.8%)
$102.29
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 34.8%)
$64.12
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 34.8%)
$54.51
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 32.57 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.28
Bull Case
$50.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$41.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$31.94
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.7 to 48.1
Stabilization Target:
$63.39
(+51.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+51.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BROS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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