Dutch Bros (BROS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BROS - Dutch Bros Inc.

RETAIL-EATING & DRINKING PLACES
$43.90
0.46 (1.06%) ▲
5d: -5.06%
30d: -13.96%
90d: -32.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your BROS Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 2, 2026 at $47.97 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BROS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.74
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BROS is currently trading at $43.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.39 to $56.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.4) compared to its historical average (50.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BROS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: BROS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.76 (+77.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $45.39 - $56.25
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 77.1% below Wall St target ($77.76)
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $45.39 - $56.25
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $43.29
Resistance Level $51.72
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 33.39
Wall Street Target $77.76 (+77.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 37.3%
Profit Margin 4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -13.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 33.4 vs 50.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -13.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $39.51 (-10%)
2-Year Target $35.56 (-19%)
3-Year Target $32.00 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→51) $48.69 (+11%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 33.4, Growth: 34.6%) $106.94 (+144%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 34.6%) $64.59 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 34.6%) $54.91 (+25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 37.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.19
Bull Case $53.01 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.9
Base Case $43.90 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 37.0
Bear Case $33.58 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 33.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.4 to 50.8
Stabilization Target: $66.79 (+52.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +52.1%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced BROS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BROS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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