BROS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BROS - Dutch Bros Inc.
$65.83
0.40 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
+2.86%
30d:
-10.2%
90d:
+14.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BROS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BROS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BROS is currently trading at $65.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.26 to $69.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 52.2) is in line with its historical norms (52.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BROS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.92, while resistance sits at $69.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.75 (+21.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BROS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.92, while resistance sits at $69.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.75 (+21.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$64.26 -
$69.61
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($79.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.26 -
$69.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.93
Resistance Level
$69.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.16
Wall Street Target
$79.75
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
52.2 vs 52.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.57
(0%)
2-Year Target
$65.30
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$65.04
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→53)
$65.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.2, Growth: 34.2%)
$159.00
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 34.2%)
$63.19
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 34.2%)
$53.71
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (67x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (52x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 67.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.98
Bull Case
$79.49
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 70.5
Base Case
$65.83
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 67.1
Bear Case
$50.36
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 60.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 52.2 to 52.7
Stabilization Target:
$66.51
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BROS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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