BROS Dutch Bros Inc. RETAIL-EATING & DRINKING PLACES Best Restaurants Stocks 2026 →

Dutch Bros (BROS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$35.01
-0.28 (-0.79%) β–Ό
5d: -20.41% 30d: -7.82% 90d: -31.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$36.94 – $43.19
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
29.2x CHEAP
vs 47.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$56.58
+61.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$33.17 / $45.46
Trend: Strong Downtrend
πŸ’‘Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BROS is down 20.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $35.55 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026

Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.20
3.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BROS is currently trading at $35.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.94 to $43.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.2) compared to its historical average (47.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 43.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BROS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.17, while resistance sits at $45.46.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.58 (+61.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $36.94 - $43.19
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $36.94 - $43.19
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $33.17
Resistance Level $45.46
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 61.6% below Wall St target ($56.58)
  • WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.24
Wall Street Target $56.58 (+61.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 29.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 43.0%
Profit Margin 5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 29.2 vs 47.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.51 (-10%)
2-Year Target $28.36 (-19%)
3-Year Target $25.52 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29β†’47) $41.12 (+17%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.2, Growth: 29.4%) $75.86 (+117%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.4%) $51.53 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 29.4%) $43.80 (+25%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case $60.37 (+72%)
Analyst growth 55.5%, PE expands to 50.4
Base Case $54.88 (+57%)
Market implied 55.5%, PE stable at 45.8
Bear Case $24.00 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.2 to 47.1
Stabilization Target: $56.40 (+61.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +61.1%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BROS)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Starbucks expects a 1% revenue decline in FY27 despite projected 18% EPS growth, primarily due to the transition of China retail operations to a licensed joint venture.
Key Retail Themes: Starbucks' revenue and earnings expectations for FY27 Impact of China retail operations transition on financials
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive BROS Research Pages
BROS Technical Chart BROS Price Prediction BROS Intrinsic Value DCF BROS Earnings Date BROS Investment Advisor BROS Fair Price Analyzer BROS Options Chain BROS Options Advisor BROS Options Analysis BROS Competitors
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