CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.
$56.39
-0.69 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
+4.99%
30d:
+2.34%
90d:
+80.04%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 16, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CBRL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CBRL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.58
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $56.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.21 to $54.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 51.2) is in line with its historical norms (54.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 239.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $45.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $45.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$49.21 -
$54.24
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 20.2% above Wall St target ($45.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.21 -
$54.24
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.20
Resistance Level
$57.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
51.20
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(-20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
239.3%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
51.2 vs 54.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.37
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$54.38
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$53.40
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 51→54)
$56.42
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 49.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.16
Bull Case
$59.61
(+6%)
Analyst growth -5.1%, PE expands to 54.1
Base Case
$54.19
(-4%)
Market implied -5.1%, PE stable at 49.2
Bear Case
$38.81
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 51.2 to 54.1
Stabilization Target:
$59.58
(+5.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Tim Moore
BUY
2026-03-23
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBRL price and gamma walls.
