CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.
$49.45
0.01 (0.01%)
▲
5d:
-8.52%
30d:
-15.82%
90d:
+8.67%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 16, 2026
4d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $54.69 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026
Strength: 9.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CBRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CBRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.58
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $49.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.37 to $58.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 44.9) compared to its historical average (53.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 239.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CBRL scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CBRL scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$53.37 -
$58.65
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CBRL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($45.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.37 -
$58.65
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.03
(8.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.66
Resistance Level
$57.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.89
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(-9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
239.3%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.9 vs 53.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.57
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$43.87
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$41.33
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→54)
$49.43
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$55.82
(+13%)
Analyst growth -0.8%, PE expands to 50.7
Base Case
$50.74
(+3%)
Market implied -0.8%, PE stable at 46.1
Bear Case
$34.78
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.9 to 53.7
Stabilization Target:
$59.14
(+19.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 3:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:28 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Tim Moore
BUY
2026-03-23
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Advanced CBRL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBRL price and gamma walls.
