CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,. RETAIL-EATING PLACES Best Restaurants Stocks 2026 →

CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$65.11
-1.84 (-2.75%) â–ŧ
5d: -4.71% 30d: +10.84% 90d: +10.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (53%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$59.58 – $70.18
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
57.7x FAIR
vs 53.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$50.71
-22.1% vs target
Options IV & Volume
25th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$64.55 / $73.67
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: CBRL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.52
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.54
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $65.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.58 to $70.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 57.7) is in line with its historical norms (53.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CBRL scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (25th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $50.71. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $59.58 - $70.18
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 25th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.7%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $59.58 - $70.18
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$5.29 (8.1%)
Support Level $64.55
Resistance Level $73.67
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 25th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 22.1% above Wall St target ($50.71)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 57.71
Wall Street Target $50.71 (-22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 85.1%
Profit Margin 0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 57.7 vs 53.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $66.80 (+3%)
2-Year Target $68.54 (+5%)
3-Year Target $70.32 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 58→54) PE COMPRESSION $65.20 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 47.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.40
Bull Case $59.35 (-9%)
Analyst growth -19.4%, PE expands to 52.6
Base Case $53.96 (-17%)
Market implied -19.4%, PE stable at 47.8
Bear Case $45.53 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CBRL)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bearish StockTwits message expresses disappointment with the customer service at $CBRL, raising concerns about the company's long-term viability.
Key Retail Themes: customer service long-term viability
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive CBRL Research Pages
CBRL Technical Chart CBRL Price Prediction CBRL Intrinsic Value DCF CBRL Earnings Date CBRL Investment Advisor CBRL Fair Price Analyzer CBRL Options Chain CBRL Options Advisor CBRL Options Analysis CBRL Competitors
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