CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.
$65.75
-0.94 (-1.41%)
▼
5d:
+4.83%
30d:
+44.57%
90d:
+26.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CBRL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CBRL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.52
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $65.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.53 to $60.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 58.3) is in line with its historical norms (53.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.60, while resistance sits at $70.28.
Market Sentiment: CBRL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $50.71. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.60, while resistance sits at $70.28.
Market Sentiment: CBRL scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $50.71. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$46.53 -
$60.88
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
15.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CBRL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 22.9% above Wall St target ($50.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.53 -
$60.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.60
Resistance Level
$70.28
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
58.27
Wall Street Target
$50.71
(-22.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
85.1%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
58.3 vs 53.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.85
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$70.03
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$72.27
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 58→53)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.73
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 47.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.40
Bull Case
$59.12
(-10%)
Analyst growth -19.4%, PE expands to 52.4
Base Case
$53.75
(-18%)
Market implied -19.4%, PE stable at 47.6
Bear Case
$45.35
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 9:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CBRL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBRL price and gamma walls.
