CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.
$51.72
-0.90 (-1.71%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.23%
30d:
-4.58%
90d:
-3.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CBRL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CBRL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.52
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $51.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.07 to $55.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 46.6) compared to its historical average (53.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 85.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.70, while resistance sits at $55.62.
Market Sentiment: CBRL scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.70, while resistance sits at $55.62.
Market Sentiment: CBRL scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$47.07 -
$55.87
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
38th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CBRL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 38th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.71)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.07 -
$55.87
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$3.67
(7.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.70
Resistance Level
$55.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.64
Wall Street Target
$50.71
(-3.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
85.1%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
46.6 vs 53.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.41
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$48.29
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$46.26
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47â53)
$52.58
(0%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 38.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case
$47.89
(-9%)
Analyst growth -17.0%, PE expands to 42.5
Base Case
$43.54
(-17%)
Market implied -17.0%, PE stable at 38.6
Bear Case
$35.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 46.6 to 53.0
Stabilization Target:
$59.80
(+13.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 4:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CBRL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBRL price and gamma walls.
