CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.
$50.42
0.91 (1.84%)
▲
5d:
-5.76%
30d:
+38.9%
90d:
+69.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 09, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CBRL trades at premium valuation expecting 12.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CBRL trades at premium valuation expecting 12.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.41
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $50.42, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.06 to $52.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 75.5) compared to its historical average (52.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.07, while resistance sits at $55.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.07, while resistance sits at $55.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $39.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.06 -
$52.02
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CBRL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 21.7% above Wall St target ($39.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 12.7% growth expectation is conservative given 239% recent growth
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.06 -
$52.02
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.07
Resistance Level
$55.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
75.46
Wall Street Target
$39.50
(-21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
239.3%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.7% premium
PE vs Historical
75.5 vs 52.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.82
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$64.04
(+27%)
3-Year Target
$72.17
(+43%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 75→53)
PE COMPRESSION
$50.41
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 42.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$31.10
(-38%)
Analyst growth -42.9%, PE expands to 46.6
Base Case
$28.28
(-44%)
Market implied -42.9%, PE stable at 42.3
Bear Case
$33.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 3:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Tim Moore
BUY
2026-03-23
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