Is CBRL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CBRL is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: CBRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CBRL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CBRL to be between $53.27 and $58.10. The current price is $57.65.

What is the analyst price target for CBRL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CBRL is $45.00. This implies a potential upside of -21.9% from current levels.

CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.

RETAIL-EATING PLACES

$57.65

2.52 (4.57%) ▲

5d: -0.47%

30d: +11.25%

90d: +81.35%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your CBRL Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 16, 2026 24d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 11, 2026 at $56.03 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 6.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CBRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$38.58

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$23.95

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $57.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.27 to $58.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 52.4) is in line with its historical norms (54.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 239.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $54.15, while resistance sits at $60.26. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: CBRL scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $45.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $53.27 - $58.10

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Options IV Signal 51th percentile (NORMAL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 44.2%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 51th percentile)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
BEARISH: Trading 21.9% above Wall St target ($45.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $53.27 - $58.10

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$5.02 (8.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $54.15

Resistance Level $60.26

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 52.35

Wall Street Target $45.00 (-21.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 239.3%

Profit Margin 0.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 52.4 vs 54.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $57.07 (-1%)

2-Year Target $56.50 (-2%)

3-Year Target $55.94 (-3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 52→54) $57.70 (+0%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 48.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.13

Bull Case $59.10 (+3%)

Analyst growth -2.5%, PE expands to 53.7

Base Case $53.73 (-7%)

Market implied -2.5%, PE stable at 48.8

Bear Case $37.49 (-35%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 52.3 to 54.0

Stabilization Target: $59.47 (+3.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +3.2%

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Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Tim Moore BUY 2026-03-23

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Advanced CBRL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBRL price and gamma walls.

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