CGNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNT - Cognyte Software Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$9.20
0.17 (1.88%)
▲
5d:
+2.91%
30d:
+0.88%
90d:
-16.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 08, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CGNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CGNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.03
16.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNT is currently trading at $9.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.61 to $9.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.2) compared to its historical average (29.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.48, while resistance sits at $9.49.
Market Sentiment: CGNT scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.33 (+34.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.48, while resistance sits at $9.49.
Market Sentiment: CGNT scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.33 (+34.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.61 -
$9.18
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CGNT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($12.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.61 -
$9.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.81
(8.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.48
Resistance Level
$9.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.21
Wall Street Target
$12.33
(+34.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.8%
Profit Margin
-0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.2 vs 29.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.69
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$8.22
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$7.76
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→30)
$9.21
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.2, Growth: 55.3%)
$31.05
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 55.3%)
$24.92
(+171%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 55.3%)
$21.18
(+130%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.2 to 29.9
Stabilization Target:
$10.91
(+18.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 09, 2026 7:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CGNT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CGNT price and gamma walls.
