CGNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNT - Cognyte Software Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$8.02
-0.06 (-0.74%)
▼
5d:
-5.42%
30d:
-12.16%
90d:
-9.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CGNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CGNT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.03
27.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNT is currently trading at $8.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.46 to $9.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.0) compared to its historical average (29.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.33 (+53.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.33 (+53.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.46 -
$9.19
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CGNT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.8% below Wall St target ($12.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.46 -
$9.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.90
Resistance Level
$9.11
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.97
Wall Street Target
$12.33
(+53.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.8%
Profit Margin
-0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.0 vs 29.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.30
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$6.64
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$6.04
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→29)
$8.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 55.3%)
$27.07
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 55.3%)
$24.85
(+210%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 55.3%)
$21.12
(+163%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.0 to 29.2
Stabilization Target:
$10.66
(+32.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CGNT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CGNT price and gamma walls.
