CGNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNT - Cognyte Software Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$8.60
-0.02 (-0.23%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.7%
30d:
+5.01%
90d:
-13.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 08, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CGNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CGNT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.03
22.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNT is currently trading at $8.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.58 to $9.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.6) compared to its historical average (29.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CGNT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.33 (+43.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CGNT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.33 (+43.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$8.58 -
$9.20
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CGNT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.4% below Wall St target ($12.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.58 -
$9.20
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$1.00
(11.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.52
Resistance Level
$9.49
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.56
Wall Street Target
$12.33
(+43.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.8%
Profit Margin
-0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.6 vs 29.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.96
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$7.37
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$6.83
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â30)
$8.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.6, Growth: 55.3%)
$29.02
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 55.3%)
$24.72
(+188%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 55.3%)
$21.02
(+144%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.6 to 29.6
Stabilization Target:
$10.80
(+25.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CGNT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CGNT price and gamma walls.
