CGNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNX - Cognex Corp
$65.24
2.62 (4.18%)
▲
5d:
+5.14%
30d:
-8.51%
90d:
+17.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CGNX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CGNX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.44
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNX is currently trading at $65.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.74 to $67.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.6) is in line with its historical norms (35.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.21 (+18.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.21 (+18.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$61.74 -
$67.92
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($77.21)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.74 -
$67.92
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.17
Resistance Level
$65.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.57
Wall Street Target
$77.21
(+18.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
122.3%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
36.6 vs 35.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.09
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$66.95
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$67.82
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.28
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.6, Growth: 20.2%)
$113.30
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 20.2%)
$64.22
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 20.2%)
$54.59
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 33.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.92
Bull Case
$78.78
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$65.24
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$49.91
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Angelos Papadimitriou
SELL
4150 shares
2026-02-23
Laura Ann Macdonald
SELL
14881 shares
2026-02-12
Robert Willett
SELL
177052 shares
2026-02-12
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