TRMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRMB - Trimble Inc. Common Stock
$52.23
-0.59 (-1.12%)
▼
5d:
-0.46%
30d:
+3.22%
90d:
-19.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRMB appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.2% annual earnings decline despite 56% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRMB appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.2% annual earnings decline despite 56% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.26
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.60
21.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRMB is currently trading at $52.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.66 to $54.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 55.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.98, while resistance sits at $54.54.
Market Sentiment: TRMB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.08 (+59.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMB is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.98, while resistance sits at $54.54.
Market Sentiment: TRMB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.08 (+59.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$49.66 -
$54.56
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.2% below Wall St target ($84.08)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.66 -
$54.56
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.98
Resistance Level
$54.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.96
Wall Street Target
$84.08
(+59.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.6%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 17.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.96
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$43.55
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$39.54
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$52.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$130.27
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 13.6%)
$77.50
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 13.6%)
$65.87
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.92
Bull Case
$115.96
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$105.42
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$35.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$70.53
(+33.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark David Schwartz
SELL
16725 shares
2026-04-16
Robert G Painter
SELL
7500 shares
2026-04-14
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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