CHKP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHKP - Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
$137.69
-0.10 (-0.07%)
▼
5d:
+1.95%
30d:
+8.41%
90d:
+12.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Get Alerted When CHKP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHKP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHKP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$201.78
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$125.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHKP is currently trading at $137.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.64 to $136.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHKP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $128.49, while resistance sits at $141.96.
Market Sentiment: CHKP scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHKP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $128.49, while resistance sits at $141.96.
Market Sentiment: CHKP scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$129.64 -
$136.39
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CHKP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($145.83)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$129.64 -
$136.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.49
Resistance Level
$141.96
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.20
Wall Street Target
$145.83
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Profit Margin
37.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$133.56
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$129.55
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$125.67
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$137.03
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.2%)
$288.39
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 8.2%)
$174.22
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 8.2%)
$148.09
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.69
Bull Case
$176.58
(+28%)
Analyst growth 16.5%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$160.53
(+17%)
Market implied 16.5%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$93.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$150.14
(+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 17, 2026 12:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CHKP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CFLT
Confluent Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$31 | 55 HOLD |
|
XYZ
Block, Inc |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$98 | 58 HOLD |
|
CRWD
Crowdstrike Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$233 | 46 HOLD |
|
TWLO
Twilio Inc |
BUY
31 analysts |
$256 | 46 HOLD |
|
S
SentinelOne Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$24 | 34 SELL |
Advanced CHKP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CHKP price and gamma walls.
