CI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CI - The Cigna Group
$304.50
11.04 (3.76%)
▲
5d:
+7.99%
30d:
+2.94%
90d:
+12.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$404.40
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$251.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CI is currently trading at $304.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $280.11 to $294.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $296.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $340.92 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $296.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $340.92 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$280.11 -
$294.51
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($340.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$280.11 -
$294.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$273.66
Resistance Level
$296.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.09
Wall Street Target
$340.92
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.1%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$310.29
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$316.18
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$322.19
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$304.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$973.85
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 10.1%)
$406.63
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 10.1%)
$345.64
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $23.59
Bull Case
$458.18
(+51%)
Analyst growth 41.9%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$416.52
(+37%)
Market implied 41.9%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$199.55
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
3
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
Everett Neville
SELL
1719 shares
2026-03-02
Nicole S Jones
SELL
2307 shares
2026-03-02
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