ELV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ELV - Elevance Health, Inc.
$425.17
8.94 (2.15%)
▲
5d:
+4.16%
30d:
+5.09%
90d:
+36.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
1d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ELV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ELV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$493.82
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$306.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ELV is currently trading at $425.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $391.95 to $417.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELV is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $426.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ELV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELV is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $426.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ELV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$391.95 -
$417.66
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
26th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 26th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($431.48)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with 2.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$391.95 -
$417.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$21.21
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$386.76
Resistance Level
$426.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.19
Wall Street Target
$431.48
(+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.8%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 12.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$437.04
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$458.89
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$481.84
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$417.53
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$826.41
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 9.0%)
$538.59
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 9.0%)
$457.80
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $23.84
Bull Case
$568.79
(+37%)
Analyst growth 23.0%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$517.08
(+24%)
Market implied 23.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$285.87
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ELV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Amy W Schulman
SELL
26 shares
2026-03-12
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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Advanced ELV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ELV price and gamma walls.
