Is ELV stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ELV is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: ELV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of ELV stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ELV to be between $377.65 and $400.57. The current price is $400.54.

What is the analyst price target for ELV?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ELV is $449.10. This implies a potential upside of 12.1% from current levels.

ELV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ELV - Elevance Health, Inc.

HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS

$400.54

4.26 (1.07%) ▲

5d: +0.05%

30d: +5.6%

90d: +2.75%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ELV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 9.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$504.28

Based on 6.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$313.12

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ELV is currently trading at $400.54, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $377.65 to $400.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ELV is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $404.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $449.10 (+12.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $377.65 - $400.57

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Options IV Signal 7th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.7%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($449.10)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with 1.4% revenue growth
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $377.65 - $400.57

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$16.05 (4.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $385.84

Resistance Level $404.72

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.52

Wall Street Target $449.10 (+12.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -13.1%

Profit Margin 2.5%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.8% premium

PE vs Historical 13.5 vs 12.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $411.76 (+3%)

2-Year Target $423.28 (+6%)

3-Year Target $435.14 (+9%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→12) PE COMPRESSION $399.20 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.1%) $772.72 (+93%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 9.1%) $520.39 (+30%)

Bear: (PE: 11.5, Growth: 9.1%) $442.33 (+10%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 17.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.47

Bull Case $574.89 (+44%)

Analyst growth 31.9%, PE expands to 19.4

Base Case $522.63 (+31%)

Market implied 31.9%, PE stable at 17.6

Bear Case $269.47 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 22, 2026 7:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30

Amy W Schulman SELL 26 shares 2026-03-12

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-24

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