CRDO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRDO - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd Ordinary Shares
$202.68
-5.29 (-2.54%)
▼
5d:
-21.38%
30d:
-15.26%
90d:
+27.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRDO is down 21.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CRDO is down 21.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$268.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$166.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRDO is currently trading at $202.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $229.09 to $271.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.8) compared to its historical average (46.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 343.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRDO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $185.87, while resistance sits at $280.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $271.92 (+34.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRDO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $185.87, while resistance sits at $280.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $271.92 (+34.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$229.09 -
$271.07
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CRDO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.2% below Wall St target ($271.92)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -21.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$229.09 -
$271.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$185.87
Resistance Level
$280.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.75
Wall Street Target
$271.92
(+34.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
157.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
343.2%
Profit Margin
35.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.8 vs 46.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$187.68
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$173.79
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$160.93
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→46)
$202.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.7, Growth: 66.5%)
$684.04
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 66.5%)
$391.12
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.9, Growth: 66.5%)
$332.45
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 38.46 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.27
Bull Case
$244.74
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 40.4
Base Case
$202.68
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.5
Bear Case
$155.05
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.7 to 46.3
Stabilization Target:
$255.38
(+26.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 19, 2026 3:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRDO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chi Fung Cheng
SELL
27500 shares
2026-04-22
Chi Fung Cheng
SELL
27500 shares
2026-04-16
James Laufman
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-15
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRDO price and gamma walls.
