CRI Carter's Inc. APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL

Carter's (CRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$34.60
+0.31 (+0.90%) ▲
5d: +2.91% 30d: +8.7% 90d: -11.62%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$31.47 – $33.30
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.3x FAIR
vs 10.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$36.50
+5.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$30.91 / $35.32
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.41
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.82
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRI is currently trading at $34.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.47 to $33.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 214.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: CRI scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $31.47 - $33.30
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $31.47 - $33.30
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $30.91
Resistance Level $35.32
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.30
Wall Street Target $36.50 (+5.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 214.0%
Profit Margin 7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.3 vs 10.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $33.94 (-2%)
2-Year Target $33.30 (-4%)
3-Year Target $32.67 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→11) $34.58 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.7%) $78.87 (+128%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 5.7%) $40.89 (+18%)
Bear: (PE: 8.8, Growth: 5.7%) $34.75 (+0%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.05
Bull Case $20.95 (-39%)
Analyst growth -44.5%, PE expands to 6.2
Base Case $19.05 (-45%)
Market implied -44.5%, PE stable at 5.7
Bear Case $23.32 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 10.9
Stabilization Target: $36.63 (+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CRI)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Carter's (CRI) reported stronger-than-expected Q3 earnings, with a beat on EPS and revenue. The company attributed the strong performance to a robust September and ongoing efforts to transition to a more consumer-centric model.
Key Retail Themes: earnings beat consumer-centric model
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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