CRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRI - Carter's Inc.
$40.73
2.16 (5.59%)
▲
5d:
+5.1%
30d:
+0.18%
90d:
+20.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.03
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRI is currently trading at $40.73, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.86 to $40.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.67 (+10.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: CRI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.67 (+10.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$37.86 -
$40.98
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.86 -
$40.98
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.44
Resistance Level
$41.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.56
Wall Street Target
$42.67
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.37
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$36.22
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$35.09
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$38.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.9%)
$106.22
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 11.9%)
$54.09
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 11.9%)
$45.98
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.43
Bull Case
$62.51
(+62%)
Analyst growth 50.4%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$56.82
(+47%)
Market implied 50.4%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$25.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$42.39
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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