CRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRI - Carter's Inc.

APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL
$38.58
-1.61 (-4.01%) ▼
5d: -1.33%
30d: -1.91%
90d: +8.61%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.57
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.85
0.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRI is currently trading at $38.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.22 to $42.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $36.90, while resistance sits at $43.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.67 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $39.22 - $42.47
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.67)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $39.22 - $42.47
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $36.90
Resistance Level $43.62
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 17, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.56
Wall Street Target $42.67 (+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -9.3%
Profit Margin 3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.6 vs 11.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $37.27 (-3%)
2-Year Target $36.00 (-7%)
3-Year Target $34.78 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→12) $38.54 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.9%) $111.62 (+189%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 11.9%) $54.11 (+40%)
Bear: (PE: 9.0, Growth: 11.9%) $45.99 (+19%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.49
Bull Case $64.88 (+68%)
Analyst growth 46.8%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case $58.98 (+53%)
Market implied 46.8%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case $27.33 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 11.7
Stabilization Target: $42.75 (+10.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +10.8%
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 1:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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