Carter's (CRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CRI - Carter's Inc.
$31.59
-0.12 (-0.38%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.89%
30d:
-2.53%
90d:
-19.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CRI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CRI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.22
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.01
16.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CRI is currently trading at $31.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.97 to $33.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47146.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CRI scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.29 (+33.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CRI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CRI scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.29 (+33.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.97 -
$33.87
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.9% below Wall St target ($42.29)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.97 -
$33.87
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.30
Resistance Level
$32.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.56
Wall Street Target
$42.29
(+33.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47146.4%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 11.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.94
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$26.51
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$24.28
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â11)
$31.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$108.25
(+243%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 12.8%)
$45.40
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$38.59
(+22%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.43
Bull Case
$23.72
(-25%)
Analyst growth -32.0%, PE expands to 6.4
Base Case
$21.56
(-32%)
Market implied -32.0%, PE stable at 5.8
Bear Case
$21.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$40.99
(+29.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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