HF Sinclair (DINO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DINO - HF Sinclair Corporation
$120.72
5.09 (4.40%)
▲
5d:
+7.12%
30d:
+11.63%
90d:
+54.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
18d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 6, 2026 at $115.11 · last confirmed Oct 6, 2026
Strength: 5.5/10
Get Alerted When DINO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DINO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DINO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.18
Based on -9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DINO is currently trading at $120.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.96 to $114.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 350.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $120.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: DINO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $106.47. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DINO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $120.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: DINO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $106.47. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$104.96 -
$114.11
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Protect Your Profits
DINO is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BEARISH: Trading 11.8% above Wall St target ($106.47)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$104.96 -
$114.11
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.10
Resistance Level
$120.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.16
Wall Street Target
$106.47
(-11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
350.2%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 10.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.05
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$109.64
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$104.49
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$120.88
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.7, Growth: -22.3%)
$189.22
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: -22.3%)
$88.00
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: -22.3%)
$74.80
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.50
Bull Case
$159.61
(+32%)
Analyst growth 25.5%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$145.10
(+20%)
Market implied 25.5%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$78.63
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$139.66
(+15.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 09, 2026 3:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is DINO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PSX
Phillips 66 |
BUY
20 analysts |
$257 | 43 HOLD |
|
SUN
Sunoco LP |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$83 | 65 BUY |
|
VLO
Valero Energy Corporation |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$368 | 31 SELL |
|
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corp |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$386 | 31 SELL |
|
DK
Delek US Energy Inc |
BUY
12 analysts |
$75 | 45 HOLD |
Advanced DINO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DINO price and gamma walls.
