Delek US (DK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DK - Delek US Holdings, Inc.
$75.44
-1.16 (-1.51%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.68%
30d:
+0.73%
90d:
+30.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -23.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -23.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.73
Based on -21.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DK is currently trading at $75.44, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.55 to $77.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1870.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DK scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $77.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DK scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$70.55 -
$77.36
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($74.58)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.55 -
$77.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.58
Resistance Level
$77.27
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.28
Wall Street Target
$74.58
(-2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1870.0%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-23.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 20.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-23.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.94
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$62.05
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$55.84
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â20)
$122.80
(+60%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.7, Growth: -47.0%)
$118.58
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: -47.0%)
$55.84
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: -47.0%)
$47.47
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.68
Bull Case
$166.01
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$150.92
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$51.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 20.4
Stabilization Target:
$168.44
(+119.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+119.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 09, 2026 11:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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