DK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DK - Delek US Holdings, Inc.
$60.60
2.13 (3.65%)
â˛
5d:
-8.2%
30d:
+9.16%
90d:
+31.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.64
Based on -26.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DK is currently trading at $60.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.91 to $65.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (23.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1870.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.34, while resistance sits at $68.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: DK scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.34, while resistance sits at $68.78. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: DK scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$54.91 -
$65.60
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.91 -
$65.60
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.34
Resistance Level
$68.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.21
Wall Street Target
$60.67
(+3.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
47.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1870.0%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 23.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.43
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$48.84
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$44.64
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â24)
$58.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -56.0%)
$47.34
(+-19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: -56.0%)
$42.62
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: -56.0%)
$36.22
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.60
Bull Case
$57.57
(-2%)
Analyst growth -10.8%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$52.34
(-11%)
Market implied -10.8%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$39.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 23.9
Stabilization Target:
$76.73
(+31.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 10, 2026 12:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
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