DLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DLO - DLocal Limited Class A Common Shares
$12.25
-0.09 (-0.73%)
▼
5d:
+8.99%
30d:
+0.66%
90d:
+8.02%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DLO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DLO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.24
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.16
32.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DLO is currently trading at $12.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.41 to $13.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DLO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DLO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.35 (+41.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DLO is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DLO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.35 (+41.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.41 -
$13.07
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.6% below Wall St target ($17.35)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.41 -
$13.07
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.13
Resistance Level
$12.55
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.09
Wall Street Target
$17.35
(+41.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.44
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$10.69
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$9.98
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$12.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 28.3%)
$51.09
(+317%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 28.3%)
$25.86
(+111%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 28.3%)
$21.98
(+79%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$23.42
(+91%)
Analyst growth 72.5%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case
$21.29
(+74%)
Market implied 72.5%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case
$8.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$15.02
(+22.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 9:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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