DLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DLO - DLocal Limited Class A Common Shares

Services-Business Services, NEC
$14.76
0.48 (3.36%) ▲
5d: -0.07%
30d: -0.94%
90d: +21.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $14.40 · last confirmed Aug 13, 2026

Strength: 9.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: DLO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.36
19.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DLO is currently trading at $14.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.39 to $15.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DLO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.81, while resistance sits at $15.65. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.25 (+23.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $14.39 - $15.08
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.6% below Wall St target ($18.25)
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $14.39 - $15.08
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.81
Resistance Level $15.65
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.02
Wall Street Target $18.25 (+23.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 54.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -6.7%
Profit Margin 15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.0 vs 13.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.63 (-1%)
2-Year Target $14.50 (-2%)
3-Year Target $14.37 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) $14.78 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 32.8%) $53.71 (+264%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 32.8%) $34.58 (+134%)
Bear: (PE: 11.1, Growth: 32.8%) $29.39 (+99%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case $27.39 (+86%)
Analyst growth 74.4%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case $24.90 (+69%)
Market implied 74.4%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case $9.71 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 13.4
Stabilization Target: $15.19 (+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.9%
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Last updated: August 14, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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