DOX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOX - Amdocs Limited
$51.18
0.64 (1.27%)
▲
5d:
-0.91%
30d:
-21.58%
90d:
-21.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DOX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DOX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.75
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.45
13.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOX is currently trading at $51.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.51 to $61.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.2) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DOX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.21 (+60.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DOX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.21 (+60.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$52.51 -
$61.67
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DOX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.7% below Wall St target ($81.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.51 -
$61.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.59
Resistance Level
$65.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.24
Wall Street Target
$81.21
(+60.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.6%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.2 vs 8.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.49
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$40.94
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$36.84
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→9)
$50.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.2%)
$229.75
(+355%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.2, Growth: 9.2%)
$65.87
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 9.2%)
$55.99
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.01
Bull Case
$92.36
(+83%)
Analyst growth 61.6%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$83.96
(+66%)
Market implied 61.6%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$35.34
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.2 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$69.61
(+37.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 01, 2026 4:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DOX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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