Duke Energy (DUK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DUK - Duke Energy Corporation
$128.38
0.99 (0.78%)
▲
5d:
+3.17%
30d:
+12.49%
90d:
+3.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DUK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DUK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.40
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DUK is currently trading at $128.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.39 to $123.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $128.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DUK scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DUK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $128.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DUK scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$114.39 -
$123.94
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
DUK is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($131.74)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$114.39 -
$123.94
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.70
Resistance Level
$128.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.91
Wall Street Target
$131.74
(+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 17.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$129.41
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$130.44
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$131.49
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$128.50
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.6%)
$172.72
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 6.6%)
$155.73
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 6.6%)
$132.37
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.64
Bull Case
$151.30
(+18%)
Analyst growth 8.0%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case
$137.55
(+7%)
Market implied 8.0%, PE stable at 19.2
Bear Case
$86.63
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: November 03, 2026 6:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DUK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced DUK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DUK price and gamma walls.
