Is AEP stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, AEP is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AEP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of AEP stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for AEP to be between $118.81 and $125.41. The current price is $130.64.

What is the analyst price target for AEP?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AEP is $141.07. This implies a potential upside of 8.0% from current levels.

American Electric Power (AEP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AEP - American Electric Power Company, Inc.

ELECTRIC SERVICES

$130.64

3.25 (2.55%) ▲

5d: +5.11%

30d: +10.34%

90d: -3.62%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 28, 2026 4d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 19, 2026 at $125.00 · last confirmed Oct 19, 2026

Strength: 4.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AEP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$170.31

Based on 5.7% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$105.75

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AEP is currently trading at $130.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.81 to $125.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AEP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $131.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: AEP scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $118.81 - $125.41

Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 27.1%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($141.07)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 7.0% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $118.81 - $125.41

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $121.90

Resistance Level $131.04

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.02

Wall Street Target $141.07 (+8.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -43.2%

Profit Margin 13.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium

PE vs Historical 19.0 vs 18.8 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $131.16 (+0%)

2-Year Target $131.69 (+1%)

3-Year Target $132.21 (+1%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→19) PE COMPRESSION $130.68 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.4%) $169.15 (+30%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 7.4%) $162.01 (+24%)

Bear: (PE: 16.2, Growth: 7.4%) $137.71 (+5%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 22.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.77

Bull Case $166.80 (+28%)

Analyst growth 19.0%, PE expands to 24.3

Base Case $151.64 (+16%)

Market implied 19.0%, PE stable at 22.1

Bear Case $86.63 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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