Brinker International (EAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EAT - Brinker International, Inc.
$185.31
-5.13 (-2.69%)
▼
5d:
-4.25%
30d:
-16.71%
90d:
+2.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EAT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$164.39
Based on -0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EAT is currently trading at $185.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $198.83 to $225.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $184.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $262.59 (+41.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $184.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $262.59 (+41.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$198.83 -
$225.09
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.7% below Wall St target ($262.59)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$198.83 -
$225.09
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$184.85
Resistance Level
$212.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.83
Wall Street Target
$262.59
(+41.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.4%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$190.31
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$195.45
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$200.73
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$185.43
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.7, Growth: -5.5%)
$207.81
(+12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: -5.5%)
$156.44
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: -5.5%)
$132.97
(-28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.66
Bull Case
$245.55
(+33%)
Analyst growth 17.2%, PE expands to 19.7
Base Case
$223.23
(+21%)
Market implied 17.2%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$129.50
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 07, 2026 7:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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