Brinker International (EAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EAT - Brinker International, Inc.
$188.06
-7.28 (-3.73%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.92%
30d:
-9.07%
90d:
+1.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EAT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EAT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.59
Based on -0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EAT is currently trading at $188.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $193.79 to $208.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $183.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: EAT scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $259.55 (+38.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $183.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: EAT scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $259.55 (+38.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$193.79 -
$208.83
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.0% below Wall St target ($259.55)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$193.79 -
$208.83
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$183.46
Resistance Level
$212.23
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.05
Wall Street Target
$259.55
(+38.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.4%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$193.51
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$199.13
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$204.90
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$187.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -5.5%)
$209.49
(+11%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: -5.5%)
$158.76
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: -5.5%)
$134.95
(-28%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.87
Bull Case
$247.00
(+31%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$224.55
(+19%)
Market implied 15.0%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$132.83
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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