Brinker International (EAT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$195.15
-8.38 (-4.12%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.91%
30d:
+0.53%
90d:
-20.64%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect EAT Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (69%)
Quality Score
45/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$190.09 â $211.13
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.6x
FAIR
vs 14.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$264.73
+35.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$189.75 / $231.74
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EAT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$167.99
Based on -0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EAT is currently trading at $195.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $190.09 to $211.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $189.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $264.73 (+35.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $189.75. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $264.73 (+35.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$190.09 -
$211.13
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$190.09 -
$211.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$189.75
Resistance Level
$231.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding EAT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.7% below Wall St target ($264.73)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.62
Wall Street Target
$264.73
(+35.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.7%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 14.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$202.57
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$210.26
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$218.25
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$195.64
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -5.5%)
$209.49
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: -5.5%)
$164.75
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: -5.5%)
$140.03
(-28%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.34
Bull Case
$246.69
(+26%)
Analyst growth 10.2%, PE expands to 19.7
Base Case
$224.26
(+15%)
Market implied 10.2%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$138.40
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EAT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) reported impressive 15.2% comps growth in Q3 2026, driven by traffic, menu innovation, and digital engagement. Sustaining this momentum into 2027 remains a concern due to tougher comparisons.
Key Retail Themes:
Sales growth
Customer engagement
Menu innovation
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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