EPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPR - EPR Properties
$61.25
-0.45 (-0.73%)
▼
5d:
-1.53%
30d:
-1.62%
90d:
+5.8%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.57
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPR is currently trading at $61.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.27 to $63.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.7) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EPR scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EPR scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$60.27 -
$63.02
Company Quality Score
70/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($63.35)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with 10.6% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.27 -
$63.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.63
Resistance Level
$62.58
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.69
Wall Street Target
$63.35
(+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.2%
Profit Margin
35.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.54
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$63.85
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$65.19
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$61.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 32.3%)
$63.53
(+4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 32.3%)
$61.84
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 32.3%)
$52.57
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$67.44
(+10%)
Analyst growth -0.6%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$61.31
(+0%)
Market implied -0.6%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$41.96
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 17, 2026 12:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tonya L Mater
SELL
2600 shares
2026-04-15
Tonya L Mater
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-14
Brian Andrew Moriarty
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-16
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