EPR Properties (EPR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPR - EPR Properties
$56.45
0.96 (1.73%)
▲
5d:
-0.67%
30d:
-5.3%
90d:
-4.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EPR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.72
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPR is currently trading at $56.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.84 to $59.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $55.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EPR scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.68 (+14.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $55.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EPR scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.68 (+14.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$56.84 -
$59.75
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.68)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.84 -
$59.75
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.00
Resistance Level
$58.10
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.75
Wall Street Target
$64.68
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.2%
Profit Margin
35.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.66
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$54.88
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$54.11
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$56.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 3.5%)
$71.93
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 3.5%)
$62.59
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: 3.5%)
$53.20
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.13
Bull Case
$62.01
(+10%)
Analyst growth 1.6%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$56.38
(0%)
Market implied 1.6%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$37.73
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$58.83
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tonya L Mater
SELL
2600 shares
2026-04-15
Tonya L Mater
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-14
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