EPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EPR - EPR Properties

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$61.21
-0.86 (-1.39%) ▼
5d: -3.5%
30d: +3.57%
90d: +10.73%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EPR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$111.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.19
11.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EPR is currently trading at $61.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.04 to $62.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: EPR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $59.04 - $62.83
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 81.9%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($61.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 3.6% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $59.04 - $62.83
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $60.92
Resistance Level $64.97
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.96
Wall Street Target $61.50 (-0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.1%
Profit Margin 37.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.7% premium
PE vs Historical 20.0 vs 18.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $63.75 (+3%)
2-Year Target $65.47 (+6%)
3-Year Target $67.23 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→18) PE COMPRESSION $61.99 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 32.3%) $65.10 (+5%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 32.3%) $62.67 (+1%)
Bear: (PE: 17.0, Growth: 32.3%) $53.27 (-14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.25
Bull Case $67.38 (+9%)
Analyst growth -4.3%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case $61.25 (-1%)
Market implied -4.3%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case $43.53 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tonya L Mater SELL 2600 shares 2026-04-15
Tonya L Mater SELL 2000 shares 2026-04-14
Brian Andrew Moriarty SELL 5000 shares 2026-03-16

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