EXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXR - Extra Space Storage, Inc.
$149.73
1.69 (1.14%)
▲
5d:
+0.97%
30d:
+0.26%
90d:
+5.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EXR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: EXR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.28
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXR is currently trading at $149.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $144.83 to $149.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.5) is in line with its historical norms (29.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $144.17, while resistance sits at $158.88.
Market Sentiment: EXR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $144.17, while resistance sits at $158.88.
Market Sentiment: EXR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$144.83 -
$149.65
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($157.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$144.83 -
$149.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$144.17
Resistance Level
$158.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.47
Wall Street Target
$157.40
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
31.5 vs 29.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$153.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$156.70
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$160.30
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$149.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.5, Growth: 5.3%)
$174.61
(+17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 5.3%)
$115.01
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 5.3%)
$97.76
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.53
Bull Case
$171.03
(+14%)
Analyst growth 5.0%, PE expands to 36.0
Base Case
$155.48
(+4%)
Market implied 5.0%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$100.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Joseph D Margolis
SELL
7500 shares
2026-03-13
Julia Letlow
BUY
2026-02-12
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