EXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXR - Extra Space Storage, Inc.
$149.73
1.69 (1.14%)
▲
5d:
+0.97%
30d:
+0.26%
90d:
+5.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When EXR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.28
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXR is currently trading at $149.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $144.78 to $149.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.5) is in line with its historical norms (29.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $144.17, while resistance sits at $158.88.
Market Sentiment: EXR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $144.17, while resistance sits at $158.88.
Market Sentiment: EXR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$144.78 -
$149.38
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($157.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$144.78 -
$149.38
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$144.17
Resistance Level
$158.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.47
Wall Street Target
$157.40
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
31.5 vs 29.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$153.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$156.70
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$160.30
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$149.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.5, Growth: 5.3%)
$174.61
(+17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 5.3%)
$115.01
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 5.3%)
$97.76
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 34.97 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.23
Bull Case
$178.76
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.7
Base Case
$148.04
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.0
Bear Case
$113.25
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is EXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Joseph D Margolis
SELL
7500 shares
2026-03-13
Julia Letlow
BUY
2026-02-12
Top Rated REIT - Industrial Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Industrial by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PLD
Prologis Inc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$158 | 51 HOLD |
|
PSA
Public Storage |
BUY
21 analysts |
$336 | 63 BUY |
|
EGP
EastGroup Properties Inc |
BUY
20 analysts |
$227 | 54 HOLD |
|
SMA
SmartStop Self Storage R… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$36 | 52 HOLD |
|
TRNO
Terreno Realty Corporati… |
BUY
18 analysts |
$72 | 53 HOLD |
Advanced EXR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EXR price and gamma walls.
