GIII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIII - G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
$33.46
0.11 (0.33%)
▲
5d:
-0.95%
30d:
-8.8%
90d:
+3.5%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GIII is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GIII is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.13
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $33.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.54 to $36.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GIII scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+17.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $32.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GIII scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+17.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$33.54 -
$36.06
Company Quality Score
70/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (84/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 10% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.54 -
$36.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.74
Resistance Level
$34.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.42
Wall Street Target
$39.33
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
782.4%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.66
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$35.91
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$37.21
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.55
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 1.0%)
$60.62
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 1.0%)
$34.50
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 1.0%)
$29.32
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case
$37.78
(+13%)
Analyst growth 2.4%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$34.34
(+3%)
Market implied 2.4%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$22.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 30, 2026 4:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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