G-Iii Apparel Group (GIII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIII - G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
$29.25
-0.52 (-1.75%)
▼
5d:
+2.85%
30d:
+7.34%
90d:
-20.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GIII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GIII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.47
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $29.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.89 to $28.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 84.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.83, while resistance sits at $30.30.
Market Sentiment: GIII scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.75 (+18.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.83, while resistance sits at $30.30.
Market Sentiment: GIII scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.75 (+18.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.89 -
$28.87
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.89 -
$28.87
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.83
Resistance Level
$30.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.98
Wall Street Target
$34.75
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.0%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.07
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$28.90
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$28.73
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$29.06
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.0%)
$59.99
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 1.0%)
$30.16
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 1.0%)
$25.63
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case
$31.25
(+7%)
Analyst growth -4.6%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$28.41
(-3%)
Market implied -4.6%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$20.24
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$29.59
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 29, 2026 5:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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