GIII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIII - G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
$33.71
0.79 (2.40%)
▲
5d:
+0.27%
30d:
+4.27%
90d:
+24.81%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GIII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GIII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.47
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $33.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.53 to $34.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.36, while resistance sits at $36.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $31.36, while resistance sits at $36.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.53 -
$34.71
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.33)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.5% growth expectation is conservative given 782% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.53 -
$34.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.36
Resistance Level
$36.53
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.51
Wall Street Target
$39.33
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
782.4%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.56
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$37.52
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$39.58
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.71
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1.0%)
$65.79
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 1.0%)
$34.76
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 1.0%)
$29.54
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.84
Bull Case
$37.35
(+11%)
Analyst growth 3.2%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$33.96
(+1%)
Market implied 3.2%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$22.39
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 01, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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