Gildan Activewear (GIL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIL - Gildan Activewear Inc.
$40.94
-1.05 (-2.50%)
▼
5d:
-2.45%
30d:
-11.52%
90d:
-24.94%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GIL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -12.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GIL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -12.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.17
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.34
32.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIL is currently trading at $40.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.93 to $47.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.6) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GIL scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.00 (+88.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GIL scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.00 (+88.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$40.93 -
$47.32
Company Quality Score
77/100
(STRONG BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (88/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 88.1% below Wall St target ($77.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 88/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.93 -
$47.32
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.01
Resistance Level
$43.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.62
Wall Street Target
$77.00
(+88.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
72.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.2%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.85
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$33.16
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$29.85
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$43.86
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.3%)
$167.81
(+310%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 16.3%)
$64.40
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 16.3%)
$54.74
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.32
Bull Case
$92.38
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.0
Base Case
$83.98
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.8
Bear Case
$28.55
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$60.16
(+47.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+47.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 17, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GIL price and gamma walls.
