GILD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GILD - Gilead Sciences Inc

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$143.44
4.52 (3.25%) ▲
5d: +5.65%
30d: +7.68%
90d: +10.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your GILD Gains
Analysis Updated: Aug 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $138.89 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GILD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$196.75
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$122.16
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GILD is currently trading at $143.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.95 to $136.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GILD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $143.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: GILD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $129.95 - $136.65
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 29.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($157.41)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $129.95 - $136.65
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $129.02
Resistance Level $143.89
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.51
Wall Street Target $157.41 (+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 54.8%
Profit Margin -10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium
PE vs Historical 14.5 vs 14.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $144.30 (+1%)
2-Year Target $145.17 (+1%)
3-Year Target $146.04 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $142.96 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: August 19, 2026 6:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew D Dickinson SELL 3000 shares 2026-04-15
Johanna Mercier SELL 3000 shares 2026-04-15
Andrew D Dickinson SELL 3000 shares 2026-03-16

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Advanced GILD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GILD price and gamma walls.

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