GRMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRMN - Garmin Ltd
$235.76
-0.58 (-0.25%)
▼
5d:
-1.01%
30d:
-1.68%
90d:
-1.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GRMN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GRMN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$325.76
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$202.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRMN is currently trading at $235.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.82 to $240.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.9) is in line with its historical norms (23.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRMN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $229.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GRMN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $262.43 (+11.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRMN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $229.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GRMN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $262.43 (+11.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$231.82 -
$240.10
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GRMN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($262.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$231.82 -
$240.10
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$229.88
Resistance Level
$242.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.89
Wall Street Target
$262.43
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.5%
Profit Margin
23.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 23.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$233.50
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$230.70
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$227.93
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$235.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: 7.8%)
$295.79
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$281.42
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 7.8%)
$239.21
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.97
Bull Case
$296.51
(+26%)
Analyst growth 15.1%, PE expands to 28.7
Base Case
$269.55
(+14%)
Market implied 15.1%, PE stable at 26.1
Bear Case
$159.26
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.9 to 23.7
Stabilization Target:
$244.68
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas G Boessen
SELL
3487 shares
2026-02-26
Matthew Munn
SELL
5275 shares
2026-02-26
Patrick Desbois
SELL
6694 shares
2026-02-26
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