GRND Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRND - Grindr Inc.
$13.56
0.38 (2.88%)
▲
5d:
+2.11%
30d:
+5.85%
90d:
+9.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 25, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRND shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRND shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.32
21.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRND is currently trading at $13.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.54 to $13.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 64.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GRND has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.20 (+34.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GRND has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.20 (+34.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.54 -
$13.36
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.2% below Wall St target ($18.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.54 -
$13.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.30
Resistance Level
$13.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.61
Wall Street Target
$18.20
(+34.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.5%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.32
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$13.08
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$12.84
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$13.56
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.3%)
$35.45
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 28.3%)
$28.66
(+111%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 28.3%)
$24.36
(+80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$24.27
(+79%)
Analyst growth 67.4%, PE expands to 31.5
Base Case
$22.06
(+63%)
Market implied 67.4%, PE stable at 28.7
Bear Case
$8.96
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$14.32
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRND showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nathan Richardson
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-01
James Fu Bin Lu
SELL
475000 shares
2026-02-06
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SELL
600000 shares
2026-02-05
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