GRND Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRND - Grindr Inc.
$15.58
0.05 (0.32%)
▲
5d:
-1.45%
30d:
+4.92%
90d:
+20.31%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GRND is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GRND is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.69
11.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRND is currently trading at $15.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.18 to $17.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.80 (+33.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRND is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.80 (+33.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.18 -
$17.02
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GRND? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.5% below Wall St target ($20.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.18 -
$17.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.28
Resistance Level
$16.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.23
Wall Street Target
$20.80
(+33.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.91
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$16.24
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$16.58
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 28.3%)
$32.93
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 28.3%)
$32.63
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 28.3%)
$27.74
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.47
Bull Case
$27.99
(+80%)
Analyst growth 63.8%, PE expands to 36.4
Base Case
$25.44
(+63%)
Market implied 63.8%, PE stable at 33.0
Bear Case
$10.56
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 11:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRND showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nathan Richardson
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-01
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRND price and gamma walls.
