ILMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ILMN - Illumina Inc
$207.13
-6.50 (-3.04%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.94%
30d:
+4.53%
90d:
+27.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ILMN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ILMN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$232.84
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$144.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ILMN is currently trading at $207.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $190.48 to $215.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 34.0) compared to its historical average (26.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ILMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $192.68, while resistance sits at $231.81. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ILMN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ILMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $192.68, while resistance sits at $231.81. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ILMN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$190.48 -
$215.34
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ILMN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($198.89)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.6% growth with 9.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$190.48 -
$215.34
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$192.68
Resistance Level
$231.81
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.98
Wall Street Target
$198.89
(-4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.4%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
34.0 vs 26.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$224.94
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$244.29
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$265.30
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34â27)
PE COMPRESSION
$206.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.0, Growth: 13.8%)
$305.40
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$180.67
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.8%)
$153.57
(-26%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.37
Bull Case
$266.78
(+29%)
Analyst growth 13.5%, PE expands to 43.8
Base Case
$242.53
(+17%)
Market implied 13.5%, PE stable at 39.8
Bear Case
$145.27
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 02, 2026 3:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ILMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ILMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ILMN price and gamma walls.
