INTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INTU - Intuit Inc
$334.71
-1.73 (-0.51%)
▼
5d:
+2.06%
30d:
+18.51%
90d:
-13.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
11d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $325.25 · last confirmed Aug 12, 2026
Strength: 9.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: INTU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: INTU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$709.57
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$440.58
24.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INTU is currently trading at $334.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $280.61 to $323.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $338.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INTU scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $455.38 (+36.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $338.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: INTU scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $455.38 (+36.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$280.61 -
$323.81
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding INTU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.1% below Wall St target ($455.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$280.61 -
$323.81
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$303.80
Resistance Level
$338.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.23
Wall Street Target
$455.38
(+36.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Profit Margin
21.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 16.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$302.58
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$273.53
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$247.27
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→17)
$335.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.8%)
$837.60
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 14.8%)
$506.51
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 14.8%)
$430.53
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.39
Bull Case
$617.80
(+85%)
Analyst growth 66.9%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$561.63
(+68%)
Market implied 66.9%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$228.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 16.6
Stabilization Target:
$454.18
(+35.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 6:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Richard L Dalzell
SELL
333 shares
2026-03-12
Richard L Dalzell
SELL
333 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced INTU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INTU price and gamma walls.
