What is the fair value of INTU stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for INTU to be between $281.33 and $331.48. The current price is $307.34.

What is the analyst price target for INTU?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for INTU is $405.60. This implies a potential upside of 34.0% from current levels.

Intuit (INTU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

INTU - Intuit Inc

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$307.34

4.59 (1.52%) ▲

5d: +7.96%

30d: -4.43%

90d: +8.82%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 19, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 2, 2026 at $280.22 · last confirmed Oct 6, 2026

Strength: 5.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: INTU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -10.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 14.5%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$660.84

Based on 9.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$410.33

25.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: INTU is currently trading at $307.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $281.33 to $331.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $309.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $405.60 (+34.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $281.33 - $331.48

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 34.0% below Wall St target ($405.60)
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $281.33 - $331.48

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $262.32

Resistance Level $309.76

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.09

Wall Street Target $405.60 (+34.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -1.4%

Profit Margin 21.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -10.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 11.1 vs 15.6 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -10.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $272.48 (-10%)

2-Year Target $245.23 (-19%)

3-Year Target $220.70 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→16) $310.43 (+3%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.5%) $814.74 (+169%)

Base: (SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 14.5%) $455.00 (+50%)

Bear: (PE: 9.4, Growth: 14.5%) $386.75 (+28%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 18.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.46

Bull Case $554.35 (+83%)

Analyst growth 65.8%, PE expands to 20.3

Base Case $503.95 (+67%)

Market implied 65.8%, PE stable at 18.5

Bear Case $206.64 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 15.6

Stabilization Target: $425.83 (+40.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +40.7%

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Last updated: October 12, 2026 11:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 PM

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Advanced INTU Option Strategies

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