INVH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INVH - Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock
$29.00
-0.17 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
-2.68%
30d:
+3.83%
90d:
+14.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INVH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INVH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.00
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INVH is currently trading at $29.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.64 to $29.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 43.7) compared to its historical average (37.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$28.64 -
$29.58
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.74)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with 9.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.64 -
$29.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.67
Resistance Level
$30.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.66
Wall Street Target
$31.74
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Profit Margin
21.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
43.7 vs 37.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.45
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$31.97
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$33.57
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→38)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.99
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 43.7, Growth: 7.6%)
$36.09
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.6%)
$18.00
(-38%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 7.6%)
$15.30
(-47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 30.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$22.50
(-22%)
Analyst growth -30.1%, PE expands to 33.9
Base Case
$20.45
(-30%)
Market implied -30.1%, PE stable at 30.8
Bear Case
$19.89
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 17, 2026 4:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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Advanced INVH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INVH price and gamma walls.
