KBH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KBH - KB Home
$52.88
0.36 (0.69%)
▲
5d:
-0.66%
30d:
+10.12%
90d:
-0.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KBH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KBH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.59
11.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KBH is currently trading at $52.88, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.93 to $53.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KBH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KBH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$47.93 -
$53.51
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with -22.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.93 -
$53.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.54
Resistance Level
$54.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.40
Wall Street Target
$55.75
(+6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.0%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.73
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$54.96
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$56.23
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.76
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 43.8%)
$298.13
(+468%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 43.8%)
$156.08
(+197%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 43.8%)
$132.67
(+153%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.18
Bull Case
$53.01
(+1%)
Analyst growth -11.1%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$48.19
(-8%)
Market implied -11.1%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$36.86
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KBH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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