Is KBH stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, KBH is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KBH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of KBH stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for KBH to be between $51.79 and $57.47. The current price is $49.16.

What is the analyst price target for KBH?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for KBH is $58.67. This implies a potential upside of 19.3% from current levels.

KB Home (KBH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KBH - KB Home

OPERATIVE BUILDERS

$49.16

1.41 (2.95%) ▲

5d: -6.02%

30d: -11.9%

90d: -9.48%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your KBH Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 23, 2026 10d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $50.20 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026

Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KBH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$99.10

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$61.53

20.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KBH is currently trading at $49.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.79 to $57.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KBH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.34, while resistance sits at $55.75.

Market Sentiment: KBH scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.67 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $51.79 - $57.47

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($58.67)
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $51.79 - $57.47

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $47.34

Resistance Level $55.75

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.72

Wall Street Target $58.67 (+19.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -27.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -71.2%

Profit Margin 4.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 10.7 vs 11.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $48.62 (-1%)

2-Year Target $48.08 (-2%)

3-Year Target $47.56 (-3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) $49.23 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 37.5%) $240.23 (+389%)

Base: (SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 37.5%) $127.71 (+160%)

Bear: (PE: 9.1, Growth: 37.5%) $108.56 (+121%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 12.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.94

Bull Case $61.12 (+24%)

Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 13.3

Base Case $55.56 (+13%)

Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 12.1

Bear Case $32.47 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.1

Stabilization Target: $50.89 (+3.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +3.5%

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:50 AM

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Advanced KBH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KBH price and gamma walls.

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